This could be the beginning of our “new normal” wave of Covid, experts say

In-house activities with fewer masks and fully booked flights indicate that the pandemic is a distant, unpleasant memory.

In fact, the number of Covid-19 cases has steadily increased across the country since late March. Hospitalization and mortality rates remain low and will remain so. However, many experts say that we cannot predict the trajectory of the current wave, including how and when it will end.

Given the pandemic’s precedent over the past two years, this is somewhat surprising – and the increase in the number of people is an indication that Covid is significantly different from previous uprisings. According to some experts, it could even mark the beginning of a “new normal situation” in the country.

Here’s why and what this means for the future of the pandemic:

Everyone you know why is taking Covid these days

The previous growth was due to the emergence of new Covid variants. This wave is mainly caused by a decrease in immunity, says Dr. David Dowdy is an associate professor of epidemiology at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and a physician in Baltimore Medical Services.

In December and January, the immunity of people restored from the omicron wave is lost, which allows the omicron and its subvariants to form. [their] Dowdy told CNBC Make It. Many Americans do not take particularly drastic Covid measures, believing that if they fall ill, they will be cured without ever being hospitalized.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, it helps to explain the increase in the last two months: According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the seven-day average number of new cases per day in the country as of Wednesday was 109,032. This can be a small number, as many people now believe in home tests and do not report their results – or refuse Covid tests altogether.

“We see a gap between‘ official ’cases and other indicators such as positive interest rates or wastewater control,” Dowdy said.

How to determine if you need to worry

The winter omicron wave had an incredibly steep peak. Rather, it is more due to “many mini-waves coming and going”, says Dr. Howard P. Foreman is director of the Yale School of Public Health’s Health Management Program.

According to Forman, the geographic turnover of the virus is different this time: when New York is struggling, for example, Florida may be doing well, and vice versa. These regional waves are often triggered by different omicron subvariants, sometimes more than once at the same time – making it more difficult to suppress the virus. According to Forman, this may be how Covid will be in the near future.

This does not mean blocking or restoring mask mandates. On the contrary, Forman said, people need to be prepared to correct their behavior and take the necessary precautions in the event of an epidemic in their area – using indicators such as hospitalization rates instead of new daily cases to measure local severity.

“People need to understand that we still have real waves and new options, and they need to pay attention and still treat it like a pandemic,” Forman said.

This may be a “new normal” phenomenon

U.S. workload may eventually fall to the level of early March. Or, it may seem like Covid-19 is an endemic virus, in other words, our “new normal”.

In any case, instead of trying to live like in 2019 again, Foreman suggests incorporating Covid prevention strategies into your daily routine. First and foremost, he says, it means keeping your vaccines up to date and undergoing partial self-testing at home on a regular basis.

According to David, you should take a home test an hour before going to a big event or to your loved ones, because “this will be the best indicator of your infection at the time.” He added that you should be tested at home five days after exposure to the virus.

If you pass a positive test, quarantine or isolate yourself properly, even if you have to miss something important in your life. According to Forman, you can consult with your doctor about antiviral treatments such as Paxlovid, which are becoming increasingly available to treat Covid infection.

“Paxlovid works well for treating patients early, so testing is more important now than it was a few months ago,” he says.

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