I’ve a confession to make. I normally do not get the flu shot. This is principally as a result of the flu vaccine doesn’t work effectively. We have been monitoring the effectiveness of the flu vaccine since 2004 (see knowledge beneath). In some years, the vaccine is 10% to twenty% efficient. At greatest, the flu shot is barely 60% efficient in stopping the flu. The general effectivity is round 40%, which isn’t very convincing. But this 12 months I obtained the flu shot as a result of I’m afraid this could be a notably dangerous 12 months for the flu.
The flu is spreading sooner than typical:
The unfold of the flu is accelerating. Experts suspect we’re in for a dangerous flu season just like the one we simply wrapped up in Australia. Infections have already been reported in Texas, Georgia, South Carolina, Alabama, Tennessee and New York. These flu instances are sooner than typical.
But this data is outdated. Because it got here from the CDC final week. We await new data at this time and can replace this data because it turns into accessible. According to the CDC web site:
“Why is there a one-week lag between the gathering and reporting of flu surveillance knowledge?”
“Influenza surveillance knowledge assortment is carried out on the premise of the reporting week, which begins on Sunday and ends on the next Saturday of every week. Each surveillance participant should summarize the weekly knowledge and submit it to the CDC by the next Tuesday afternoon. The knowledge is then downloaded, compiled and analyzed at CDC. The knowledge will probably be used to replace FluView and FluView Interactive subsequent Friday.
By the time the info hit the CDC’s web site, it was outdated. The CDC doesn’t have a flu monitoring system, it has a COVID surveillance program. COVID case studies are up to date each day. For instance, you can go to this web site and discover:
7-day common variety of instances of COVID-19 as of October 19 36,756. There had been new moments that day 68,420. These knowledge are primarily based on present COVID assessments.
Sentinel websites vs. Total variety of flu instances:
The CDC depends on sentinels to estimate the variety of flu instances. As far as we all know, the variety of each day flu instances throughout the nation is at the moment not printed wherever. Why not?
While we’re occupied with flu knowledge, why cannot shoppers purchase speedy flu assessments for residence use the identical method they’ll purchase COVID assessments on the pharmacy? you are will probably be Get a fast flu take a look at at your physician’s workplace. It may not be tremendous correct, however no less than you’ll get a fast and soiled report from the physician.
The bother is, if you have the flu, the very last thing you wish to do is rush your self to the physician’s workplace. And that is assuming you can take it on a date, too.
Some excellent news about getting identified with the flu:
The FDA introduced on May 16, 2022 that it has authorized:
“First COVID-19 take a look at accessible over-the-counter that additionally detects flu and RSV”
The company additional states:
“This product is the primary direct-to-consumer (over-the-counter) multi-analytical COVID-19 take a look at authorized by the FDA and permits a particular person to gather a nasal swab pattern at residence after which ship that pattern to Labcorp for testing. can detect and distinguish between influenza A and B, generally often known as influenza, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 together with the respiratory syncytial virus often known as RSV.Results are delivered via an internet portal, well being take care of constructive or destructive take a look at outcomes The storage supplier is monitored.
It sounds good, however it will get difficult shortly. Here is a hyperlink to the Labcorp OnDemand web site.
You will see that there are two choices. is one $0 upfront value with insurance coverage. Labcorp:
“If you select to take part within the survey and meet the scientific tips, you pays your insurance coverage.”
This might be helpful if you wish to fill out on-line surveys.
“If you’re uninsured or do not meet scientific tips, you can skip the survey and select to pay by bank card.”
Here’s a hyperlink to the COVID-19, Influenza and RSV Test Kit Survey
Price is $169.00
Another drawback of the house take a look at package:
In our opinion, this is a lot of cash for one take a look at package. You will not get on the spot outcomes like a residence COVID take a look at package you should purchase on-line or at a drugstore.
Instead, Labcorp will probably be OnDemand ship to Your residence assortment package:
“It’s straightforward. We’ll ship a assortment package to your private home to gather your nasal swab pattern. Use a pay as you go transport label to ship your package again to our lab for testing. The common time to ship outcomes is at the moment 1-2 days after your pattern is taken within the lab. Our labs are open seven days a week will course of the samples. Check together with your FedEx location for pick-up and drop-off places.”
Therefore, it’s obligatory wait the take a look at package ought to arrive after which be despatched again and wait for outcomes. It might have been a number of days earlier than they arrived. If you need your physician to prescribe a flu shot, it could take a quick time for it to be efficient!
So… Should you get a flu shot or not?
We can not reply this query. This is a private alternative. High faculties in San Diego, California, are reporting a rise in flu-like absences. Dr. William Schaffner is an authority on influenza. According to him, this 12 months’s epidemic began a month earlier and is quickly accumulating. This early warning prompted me to get a flu shot. However, this might not persuade you.
In the previous few years, the flu has not been as frequent as anticipated, doubtless as a result of COVID-19 precautions reminiscent of sporting masks and social distancing. Now that these restrictions have been lifted, infectious illness consultants anticipate fewer flu instances
They are encouraging folks to get vaccinated towards the flu, hoping to keep away from a “twin pandemic” of COVID and the flu. Pediatricians fear that kids beneath the age of three are notably prone as a result of they’ve had little or no earlier publicity to construct up their immunity.
Does the flu shot work?
Most instances of influenza examined H3N2. This could also be a shiny spot, as this 12 months’s vaccine accommodates antibodies towards that pressure.
We are on the lookout for knowledge on the effectiveness of the Australian flu vaccine beneath. That’s as a result of they get the flu 6 months earlier than us and get their vaccines earlier than we do. From Australia’s 2022 Influenza Control Reports I used to be capable of finding right here:
“Vaccine Compliance and Efficacy
• “Of the two,570 samples submitted to the WHOCC (WHO Collaborating Centers) thus far, 92.4% of influenza A(H1N1), 94.5% of influenza A(H3N2) and 6 samples of influenza B/Victoria have been characterised as antigenically comparable. to the respective vaccine parts.
• “Vaccine effectiveness is a measure of the protecting impact of influenza vaccines towards influenza and its issues and is normally 40-60%. According to projections from Sentinel Hospitals (FluCAN), vaccine effectiveness seems to be on the low finish of the typical vary in 2022.
More excellent news for October 9, 2022:
Aussies report about it
• “After peak exercise in June 2022, influenza-like sickness (ILI) exercise in the neighborhood is low.
“Nationally, laboratory-confirmed flu studies have continued to say no over the previous two weeks and stay beneath the typical for this time of 12 months in comparison with earlier years.”
We interpret this to imply that the flu began early however peaked after which subsided.
What about hardness?
• “Currently, scientific severity, such because the proportion of sufferers admitted on to the ICU and the proportion of deaths from influenza, is low.”
The final phrase on flu pictures:
After wanting on the Australian flu knowledge for 2022, it appears to us like an early surge beginning in April and lasting till August. If, and it is a massive one IF, North American knowledge follows, and we should always see a very speedy improve in flu instances right here in November and December. By January, issues needs to be decreased.
That’s why we obtained our flu shot early. We wish to keep away from the flu in November and January. Does it work closed? We will not know for a few extra weeks. If the effectivity is between 40% and 60%, this can be higher than typical. Here is a record of previous flu vaccine effectiveness scores:
Vaccine effectiveness in earlier years:
2004-2005: Vaccine Efficacy: 10%
2005-2006: Vaccine Efficacy: 21%
2006-2007: Vaccine Efficacy: 52%
2007-2008: Vaccine Efficacy: 37%
2008-2009: Vaccine Efficacy: 41%
2009-2010: Vaccine Efficacy: 56%
2010-2011: Vaccine Efficacy: 60%
2011-2012: Vaccine Efficacy: 47%
2012-2013: Vaccine Efficacy: 49%
2013-2014: Vaccine Efficacy: 52%
2014-2015: Vaccine Efficacy: 19%
2015-2016: Vaccine Efficacy: 47%
2016-2017: Vaccine Efficacy: 42%
2017-2018: Vaccine Efficacy: 38%
2018-2019: Vaccine Efficacy: 29%
2019-2020: Vaccine Effectiveness: 39%
2020-2021: Vaccine effectiveness is just not estimated partially as a result of low incidence of influenza.
2021-2022: Vaccine effectiveness: 16%
Overall effectivity (excluding 2021-2022): 40%
What do you assume?
Can you get a flu shot this 12 months? Have you had a flu shot within the final 12 months? How effectively did they do? What else can you do to stop the flu? Please share your ideas within the remark part beneath. And do us a nice favor. If you assume this publish has helpful data, please share it together with your family and friends. While you’re at it, strive encouraging them to enroll in our free publication. This is a method to promote the web site and our radio present. Here is the hyperlink. And thank you!